3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,700 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,255/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,682
Tax + insurance
−$535
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$264
Net cashflow
$-1,225/mo
Annual
$-14,696/yr
Cap rate
1.71%
Cash-on-cash
-16.37%
DSCR
0.27
1% rule
0.39%
Cash to close
$89,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $2.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $2).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($1) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1 (50.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Blue River Valley Schools (rural): math 22% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #255 of 301 in IN (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Blue River Valley Elementary Sch (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #737 of 994 statewide, top 76%, 322 students, 56% FRL); Blue River Valley Jr-Sr High Sch (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #325 of 369 statewide, top 91%, 320 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 32% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 240535.1% of price.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XJ6AR0A0Q9393S
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29