4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,897 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 365 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,915/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$1,265
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,452
Net cashflow
$2,494/mo
Annual
$29,927/yr
Cap rate
15.71%
Cash-on-cash
33.62%
DSCR
2.50
1% rule
2.13%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $325k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $325k).
It's been on market 365 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $286k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#74 in NY, #1,143 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Kingston City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Kingston High School (math 94% / reading 91%, grade A+, #153 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 1,856 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 45% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+41 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Kingston City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 388 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $74k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $150k; list at $325k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 365 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting.
Major: porch and railings
— The porch and railings are in poor condition.
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· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29