3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Manufactured
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,263/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$52
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$552/mo
Annual
$6,629/yr
Cap rate
15.13%
Cash-on-cash
31.56%
DSCR
2.40
1% rule
1.68%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#149 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Seiling (rural): math 16% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #165 of 270 in OK (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Seiling Es (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 271 students, 0% FRL); Seiling Jr-Sr Hs (Jr) (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #226 of 345 statewide, top 67%, 86 students, 0% FRL); Seiling Jr-Sr Hs (Sr) (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #361 of 447 statewide, top 94%, 82 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.
Dewey County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XKCBBH62VY0V7G
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29