4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,050 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 394 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,364/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$535
Tax + insurance
−$170
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$286
Net cashflow
$372/mo
Annual
$4,469/yr
Cap rate
10.67%
Cash-on-cash
15.65%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$28,560
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $102k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $102k).
It's been on market 394 days — a 12% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $90k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($705 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#149 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, health & safety D+.
Elgin-New Leipzig 49 (rural): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #43 of 169 in ND (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grant County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 394 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XKMRCX9D55RQW8
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29