4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,812 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,281/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$362/mo
Annual
$4,346/yr
Cap rate
10.64%
Cash-on-cash
15.54%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $717 of equity ($691 loan paydown + $26 appreciation (0.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#419 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Johnson County (rural): math 34% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #79 of 174 in GA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Johnson County Elementary School (math 46% / reading 35%, grade F, #419 of 1,228 statewide, top 35%, 466 students, 94% FRL); Johnson County Middle School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 240 students, 95% FRL); Johnson County High School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 303 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 69% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Johnson County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $54k; list at $100k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29