2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
990 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,082/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$854
Tax + insurance
−$171
HOA
−$900
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$437
Net cashflow
$-280/mo
Annual
$-3,362/yr
Cap rate
4.23%
Cash-on-cash
-7.37%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$45,587
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $163k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-280 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (30.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $163k).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (30.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#158 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, employment B+, commute B; Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety C-, amenities D-.
Montgomery County Public Schools (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #3 of 24 in MD (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Flower Valley Elementary (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #169 of 860 statewide, top 20%, 540 students, 33% FRL); Earle B. Wood Middle (math 14% / reading 45%, grade F, #67 of 225 statewide, top 32%, 1,068 students, 50% FRL); Rockville High (math 47% / reading 72%, grade C+, #73 of 222 statewide, top 34%, 1,516 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 26% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 43% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 246 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,880 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (2,054 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $38k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $138k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.4% in Leisure World — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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