3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,352 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 221 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,275/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$-507/mo
Annual
$-6,081/yr
Cap rate
3.76%
Cash-on-cash
-9.05%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.53%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-507 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (37.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (46.9% below list).
It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (46.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#146 in NY, #2,225 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
Adirondack Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #426 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Adirondack Middle School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #550 of 729 statewide, top 77%, 279 students, 55% FRL); Adirondack High School (math 92% / reading 92%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 360 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 39% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Adirondack Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XM893Z7GCJQD1Y
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29