178 Garth Rd Unit 1J

Eastchester, NY 10583

$159,000A-

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · Built 1936 · Condo · Pending · 83 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,172/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$834
• Tax + insurance: −$331
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$666
• Net cashflow: $1,341/mo
• Annual: $16,089/yr
• Cap rate: 16.91%
• Cash-on-cash: 37.93%
• DSCR: 2.69
• 1% rule: 2.00%
• Cash to close: $44,520

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $159k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $159k).
• It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $149k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#159 in NY, #2,451 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D-, cost of living F, health & safety D-.
• Eastchester Union Free School District (suburban): math 79% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #42 of 590 in NY (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Eastchester Middle School (math 56% / reading 76%, grade A-, #118 of 729 statewide, top 16%, 694 students, 0% FRL); Eastchester Senior High School (math 100% / reading 84%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 976 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 4.2% in Eastchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($250k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.