263 Hopkins Rd

Parrott, VA 24134

$34,500B-

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · Built 1945 · SingleFamily · Pending · 78 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $861/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$181
• Tax + insurance: −$99
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$181
• Net cashflow: $400/mo
• Annual: $4,797/yr
• Cap rate: 22.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 57.92%
• DSCR: 3.58
• 1% rule: 2.49%
• Cash to close: $9,660

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $34k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($861 rent vs $34k).
• It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $32k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $239 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 39/100 on livability (#578 in VA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Giles County Public School District (rural): math 56% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #54 of 131 in VA (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Giles County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Giles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.