4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,652 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 205 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,081/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,190
Tax + insurance
−$338
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$437
Net cashflow
$116/mo
Annual
$1,391/yr
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.19%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$63,560
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $227k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (8.3% below list).
It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Henry Mayfield Elementary School (math 35% / reading 45%, grade F, #221 of 646 statewide, top 34%, 832 students, 60% FRL); Slidell Junior High School (math 25% / reading 47%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 823 students, 60% FRL); Slidell High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #93 of 265 statewide, top 36%, 1,883 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 40% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $63k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $184k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XP3ETYDE4324W5
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29