5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,363 sqft ·
Built 1957
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,652/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,714
Tax + insurance
−$1,632
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$977
Net cashflow
$-2,671/mo
Annual
$-32,054/yr
Cap rate
2.73%
Cash-on-cash
-12.73%
DSCR
0.43
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$251,720
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $899k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-32k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $427k (52.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $465k (48.2% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($886k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $427k (52.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#32 in NY, #528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Sewanhaka Central High School District (suburban): math 76% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #43 of 590 in NY (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $336k; list at $899k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XP3H8TB1JZ9KC8
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29