4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,911 sqft ·
Built 1954
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,256/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$305
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$474
Net cashflow
$192/mo
Annual
$2,306/yr
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.36%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (7.9% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $226k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#21 in ND, #3,953 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Minot 1 (town): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #24 of 53 in ND (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Longfellow Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #162 of 236 statewide, top 73%, 412 students, 43% FRL); Erik Ramstad Middle School (math 45% / reading 49%, grade D+, #11 of 35 statewide, top 29%, 689 students, 32% FRL); Magic City Campus High School (933 students, 22% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 123 units permitted in Ward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ward County population projected at +76% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 3% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $245k implies a 717% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.4% in Minot — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XP3JNG3086XK8W
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29