3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,514 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Other
· Pending
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,565/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$86
HOA
−$519
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$329
Net cashflow
$-76/mo
Annual
$-916/yr
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.42%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-916/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (10.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#25 in ID, #3,515 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, commute F, employment F.
Madison District (town): math 44% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #50 of 92 in ID (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Adams Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #88 of 357 statewide, top 28%, 277 students, 42% FRL); Madison Junior High School (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #88 of 109 statewide, top 81%, 1,247 students, 30% FRL); Madison Senior High School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #55 of 169 statewide, top 34%, 1,278 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 274 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29