3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,000 sqft ·
Built 1960
· Other
· Active
· 181 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,193/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$719/mo
Annual
$8,632/yr
Cap rate
35.16%
Cash-on-cash
103.10%
DSCR
5.59
1% rule
3.99%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $719 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#389 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Lake Benton Public School District (rural): math 65% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #49 of 467 in MN (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $23k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XPD5XG80XT5S17
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29