4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,575 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,680/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$325
HOA
−$106
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$353
Net cashflow
$-126/mo
Annual
$-1,516/yr
Cap rate
5.52%
Cash-on-cash
-2.78%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-126 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (9.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (13.8% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $168k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-322 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Harmony El (math 21% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,739 of 4,322 statewide, top 87%, 684 students, 75% FRL); East Central Heritage Middle (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 1,120 students, 44% FRL); East Central H S (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 3,252 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 451 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XPHJWB07ZDJXDV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29