4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
3,153 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,726/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,543
Tax + insurance
−$751
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$782
Net cashflow
$-351/mo
Annual
$-4,213/yr
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.10%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$135,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $485k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-351 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $423k (12.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $373k (23.2% below list).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($470k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $373k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#206 in MN, #4,356 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
St. Michael-Albertville School District (rural): math 62% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #17 of 301 in MN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Fieldstone Elementary School (math 76% / reading 67%, grade A-, #58 of 857 statewide, top 7%, 596 students, 24% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Middle West (math 55% / reading 62%, grade B, #29 of 258 statewide, top 12%, 1,047 students, 21% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Senior High (math 60% / reading 71%, grade B, #27 of 471 statewide, top 6%, 2,240 students, 17% FRL).
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XPKY7ZCV49A36F
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29