5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,716 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,664/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$225
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$349
Net cashflow
$965/mo
Annual
$11,580/yr
Cap rate
33.29%
Cash-on-cash
96.40%
DSCR
5.29
1% rule
3.88%
Cash to close
$12,012
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $43k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $965 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $43k).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($297 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#497 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, commute D, amenities F.
Clyde-Savannah Central School District (rural): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #587 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XQ34S1DW9HYCAS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29