3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,584 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Manufactured
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,817/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$198
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$382
Net cashflow
$31/mo
Annual
$376/yr
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($376/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (21.0% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $182k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#297 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Forts Pond Elementary (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #447 of 597 statewide, top 76%, 468 students, 100% FRL); Pelion Middle (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #179 of 229 statewide, top 78%, 566 students, 100% FRL); Pelion High (math 14% / reading 77%, grade D-, #164 of 196 statewide, top 84%, 727 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 30% district-wide (58 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lexington 01 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 572 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XQBTTAE96EDRKD
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29