2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
687 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$813/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$171
Net cashflow
$28/mo
Annual
$331/yr
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.31%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($331/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $81k (9.7% below list).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#169 in IA, #3,069 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Newton Community School District (town): math 59% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #245 of 289 in IA (top 85%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Berg Middle School (math 55% / reading 61%, grade B, #195 of 246 statewide, top 79%, 841 students, 55% FRL); Newton Senior High School (math 60% / reading 62%, grade C+, #258 of 336 statewide, top 78%, 818 students, 47% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 242 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $90k implies a 362% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.1% in Newton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XQHCNW6NA9XGAJ
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29