2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,487/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$211
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$522
Net cashflow
$443/mo
Annual
$5,314/yr
Cap rate
8.42%
Cash-on-cash
7.59%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$69,986
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (0.5% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $249k (0.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Central Bucks SD (suburban): math 55% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #37 of 539 in PA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Butler El Sch (math 54% / reading 71%, grade B, #308 of 1,518 statewide, top 20%, 827 students, 14% FRL); Unami Ms (math 36% / reading 66%, grade C, #116 of 512 statewide, top 24%, 777 students, 9% FRL); Central Bucks Hs-South (math 91% / reading 75%, grade A, #14 of 437 statewide, top 3%, 1,720 students, 9% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.8% in Brittany Farms-The Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XQY34CAYFNR21Q
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29