2 bd · None ba ·
576 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$954/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$283
Tax + insurance
−$234
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$236/mo
Annual
$2,834/yr
Cap rate
14.34%
Cash-on-cash
28.73%
DSCR
2.28
1% rule
1.77%
Cash to close
$15,092
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $54k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($954 rent vs $54k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($373 loan paydown + $913 appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,331 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
West Perry SD (rural): math 37% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #189 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $42k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XR704E6XTM41XC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29