3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,302 sqft ·
Built 1800
· Other
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,309/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$917
Tax + insurance
−$228
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$275
Net cashflow
$-111/mo
Annual
$-1,327/yr
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.71%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$48,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-111 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (11.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (25.1% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#120 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Harmony Public Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #152 of 185 in ME (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1800 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Somerset County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $130k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.3% in Hartland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1800 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XSBTMJ1SBGM6WF
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29