2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Other
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,648/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$635
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$537/mo
Annual
$6,442/yr
Cap rate
11.62%
Cash-on-cash
19.02%
DSCR
1.85
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$33,879
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $121k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $121k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $836 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in MS, #285 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
North Panola School District (rural): math 2% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #129 of 130 in MS (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Como Primary (266 students, 100% FRL); North Panola Middle School (math 4% / reading 10%, grade F, #170 of 179 statewide, top 95%, 281 students, 100% FRL); North Panola High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #193 of 197 statewide, top 99%, 374 students, 100% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 857 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Panola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Panola County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 2.7% in Oxford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XSK2D05ZS3Y6NM
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29