4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Manufactured
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$237
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$525
Net cashflow
$611/mo
Annual
$7,329/yr
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.17%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#441 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Rice ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 522 units permitted in Navarro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Navarro County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Light wear and tear, but not damaged.
Minor: Kitchen countertops
— Slight discoloration and scratches.
Minor: Primary bathroom vanity
— Some wear on the surface, but functional.
Minor: Landscaping
— Simple and functional, but not particularly attractive or well-maintained.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29