3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,689 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,985/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$518
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$417
Net cashflow
$-50/mo
Annual
$-605/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.03%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$58,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-605/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (4.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (5.4% below list).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#38 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Lexington 05 (suburban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 80 in SC (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Dutch Fork Elementary (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #344 of 597 statewide, top 60%, 475 students, 82% FRL); Dutch Fork High (math 54% / reading 86%, grade B+, #58 of 196 statewide, top 30%, 1,726 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 27% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 315 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $155k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XSY9T09S3HAJMQ
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29