1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
480 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$803/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$235
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$169
Net cashflow
$324/mo
Annual
$3,886/yr
Cap rate
14.95%
Cash-on-cash
30.91%
DSCR
2.38
1% rule
1.79%
Cash to close
$12,572
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($803 rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $73 of equity ($310 loan paydown + $-237 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Forest Area SD (rural): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #415 of 658 in PA (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Forest County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forest County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.