2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,067 sqft ·
Built 1946
· Condo
· Pending
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,061/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$350
HOA
−$1,207
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$643
Net cashflow
$-239/mo
Annual
$-2,873/yr
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.89%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$58,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-239 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $175k (16.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#26 in IL, #464 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Evanston Twp Hsd 202 (urban): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #54 of 620 in IL (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dewey Elem School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #182 of 2,056 statewide, top 10%, 345 students, 0% FRL); Nichols Middle School (math 35% / reading 36%, grade F, #188 of 665 statewide, top 28%, 650 students, 0% FRL); Evanston Twp High School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #44 of 693 statewide, top 7%, 3,691 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $210k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.0% in Evanston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-XVK9BE60VGHJC1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29