3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,511 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,210/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,800
Tax + insurance
−$572
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$464
Net cashflow
$-626/mo
Annual
$-7,518/yr
Cap rate
4.10%
Cash-on-cash
-7.82%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$96,108
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-626 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (24.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (34.0% below list).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $221k (34.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#244 in FL, #3,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Round Lake Elementary School (math 76% / reading 71%, grade A, #260 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 1,194 students, 31% FRL, charter); Mt. Dora Middle School (math 45% / reading 45%, grade D, #310 of 571 statewide, top 56%, 846 students, 48% FRL); Mt. Dora High School (math 32% / reading 46%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 1,334 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 856 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 58d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 3.2% in Mount Dora — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XVZTMT94T9GKHK
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29