3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,375 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Townhouse
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,039/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$428
Net cashflow
$461/mo
Annual
$5,528/yr
Cap rate
9.45%
Cash-on-cash
11.28%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#28 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Christina School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #18 of 26 in DE (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.0% in Brookside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XWD0JJ5NB411RT
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29