3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,066/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$215
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$-49/mo
Annual
$-589/yr
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.63%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-589/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (5.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (17.3% below list).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Leslie County (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #36 of 165 in KY (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP.
Leslie County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance
Minor: Bathroom cleaning
— Dirty surfaces
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29