2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,020 sqft ·
Built 1939
· Other
· Under Contract
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,040/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$169
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$218
Net cashflow
$23/mo
Annual
$279/yr
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.83%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($279/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (13.4% below list).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $104k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#85 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Millard District (town): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #30 of 80 in UT (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Millard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Millard County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XWSSYF95X07QV3
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29