6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,776 sqft ·
Built 1865
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,592/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,671
Tax + insurance
−$1,167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,014
Net cashflow
$2,740/mo
Annual
$32,882/yr
Cap rate
10.99%
Cash-on-cash
16.78%
DSCR
1.75
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$196,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $700k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive. Per door: $913/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $700k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($689k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $689k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,087 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
Haverstraw-Stony Point CSD (North Rockland) (suburban): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #427 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1865 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $350k; list at $700k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $196k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.2% in Haverstraw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,592/mo this rent would consume 153% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1865 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XWTT40CA5W90Z7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29