2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,232 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,575/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$424
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$541
Net cashflow
$672/mo
Annual
$8,064/yr
Cap rate
11.64%
Cash-on-cash
19.09%
DSCR
1.85
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $672 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $179k).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $168k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#793 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Fallsburg Central School District (town): math 29% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #583 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Benjamin Cosor Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,024 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 810 students, 72% FRL); Fallsburg Junior Senior High School (math 52% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,046 of 1,100 statewide, top 96%, 684 students, 64% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: interior walls and paint
— Dated wood paneling and paint need to be updated.
Major: kitchen cabinets and appliances
— Dated cabinets and appliances need to be replaced.
Major: bathroom tile and fixtures
— Dated tile and fixtures need to be replaced.
Major: flooring
— Dated carpet and flooring need to be replaced.
Major: interior walls and paint
— Dated wood paneling and paint need to be updated.
Major: windows
— Dated window frames need to be replaced.
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29