2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,031/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$572
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$127/mo
Annual
$1,529/yr
Cap rate
7.70%
Cash-on-cash
5.01%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$30,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (5.4% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#407 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Fairmont Area School District (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #148 of 301 in MN (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fairmont Elementary School (math 50% / reading 51%, grade D+, #412 of 857 statewide, top 48%, 956 students, 62% FRL); Fairmont Jr./Sr. High School (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D-, #187 of 471 statewide, top 40%, 859 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 35% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $109k implies a 407% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.4% in Fairmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29