3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,297 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,521/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$421
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$529
Net cashflow
$-369/mo
Annual
$-4,431/yr
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.28%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$103,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $370k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-369 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (17.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (31.9% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $252k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in MI, #377 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
Novi Community School District (urban): math 73% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #7 of 540 in MI (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Orchard Hills Elementary School (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #132 of 1,397 statewide, top 11%, 410 students, 24% FRL); Novi High School (math 75% / reading 83%, grade A-, #8 of 713 statewide, top 1%, 2,101 students, 11% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.7% in Novi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XX5Z1660EQNK8W
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29