2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,604/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$410
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$-191/mo
Annual
$-2,296/yr
Cap rate
4.86%
Cash-on-cash
-5.13%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-191 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (21.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $126k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#740 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Cornwall-Lebanon SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #219 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cornwall El Sch (math 46% / reading 70%, grade C+, #430 of 1,518 statewide, top 29%, 534 students, 33% FRL); Cedar Crest Ms (math 24% / reading 59%, grade F, #234 of 512 statewide, top 47%, 1,302 students, 44% FRL); Cedar Crest Hs (math 77% / reading 34%, grade C, #93 of 437 statewide, top 22%, 1,633 students, 34% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 315 units permitted in Lebanon County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lebanon County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 0.9% in Cornwall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XXKNCCAJ2CQTSN
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29