3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,232 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,352/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$29/mo
Annual
$350/yr
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.72%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($350/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (22.7% below list).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#52 in NC, #4,349 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Cleveland County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #76 of 178 in NC (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: James Love Elementary (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #771 of 1,410 statewide, top 57%, 350 students, 99% FRL); Shelby Middle (math 25% / reading 42%, grade F, #299 of 475 statewide, top 64%, 630 students, 81% FRL); Shelby High (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #427 of 535 statewide, top 81%, 825 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 59% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cleveland County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 247 active listings in the ZIP; 461 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cleveland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.9% in Shelby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29