3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
652 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 237 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,158/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$190
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$416/mo
Annual
$4,988/yr
Cap rate
14.75%
Cash-on-cash
30.20%
DSCR
2.34
1% rule
1.96%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,162 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, crime F.
Gouverneur Central School District (town): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #582 of 590 in NY (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Gouverneur Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,923 of 2,108 statewide, top 92%, 506 students, 62% FRL); Gouverneur Middle School (math 12% / reading 34%, grade F, #646 of 729 statewide, top 89%, 472 students, 68% FRL); Gouverneur High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 467 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 46% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gouverneur Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29