2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
936 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,091/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$225
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$439
Net cashflow
$45/mo
Annual
$538/yr
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.96%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($538/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Mary'S County Public Schools (rural): math 23% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #8 of 24 in MD (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 265 units permitted in St. Mary's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Mary's County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.9% in Wildewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XZ2BDXB4S39J55
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29