3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,450 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,593/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$297
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$335
Net cashflow
$70/mo
Annual
$837/yr
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.76%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($837/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (6.3% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $159k (6.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XZGGYD5E06CZQG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29