3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,441 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,989
Tax + insurance
−$1,061
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,365
Net cashflow
$1,085/mo
Annual
$13,023/yr
Cap rate
8.58%
Cash-on-cash
8.16%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$159,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $570k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $570k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($553k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $553k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Tuxedo Union Free School District (rural): math 55% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #222 of 755 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: George Grant Mason Elementary School (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #1,418 of 2,108 statewide, top 68%, 104 students, 33% FRL); George F Baker High School (math 90% / reading 64%, grade A-, #580 of 1,100 statewide, top 53%, 104 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 10% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $260k; list at $570k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.2% in Tuxedo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y07EHX0EEE6D8A
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29