30 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,024 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,137/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$157
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$-176/mo
Annual
$-2,113/yr
Cap rate
5.09%
Cash-on-cash
-4.31%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 30-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-176 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (17.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (35.0% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (35.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#374 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
Colquitt County (town): math 29% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #117 of 174 in GA (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Stringfellow Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,041 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 300 students, 97% FRL); Willie J. Williams Middle School (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 1,369 students, 85% FRL); Colquitt County High School (math 50% / reading 18%, grade F, #98 of 424 statewide, top 23%, 1,787 students, 64% FRL).
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Colquitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Colquitt County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $175k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y0J47K2G1Y6PAC
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29