3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$984/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$139
Tax + insurance
−$76
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$563/mo
Annual
$6,751/yr
Cap rate
31.77%
Cash-on-cash
90.99%
DSCR
5.05
1% rule
3.71%
Cash to close
$7,420
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $26k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $26k).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $24k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($183 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#181 in IA, #3,246 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
West Central Valley Community School District (rural): math 68% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #115 of 289 in IA (top 40%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 21 units permitted in Guthrie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guthrie County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y1B87C3GQVSPHC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29