4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,548 sqft ·
Built 1923
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 190 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,159/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$211
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$583/mo
Annual
$7,002/yr
Cap rate
23.69%
Cash-on-cash
62.14%
DSCR
3.76
1% rule
2.88%
Cash to close
$11,268
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $278 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#336 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Eldora-New Providence Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #217 of 289 in IA (top 75%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Eldora-New Providence Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #390 of 616 statewide, top 69%, 280 students, 45% FRL); South Hardin High School (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #211 of 336 statewide, top 70%, 242 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y1BWF17EA4A226
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29