4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,578 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 371 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,990
Tax + insurance
−$857
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$844
Net cashflow
$304/mo
Annual
$3,645/yr
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.25%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$106,260
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $380k).
It's been on market 371 days — a 12% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $334k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Woodlawn Elementary (math 37% / reading 56%, grade D-, #159 of 646 statewide, top 25%, 718 students, 65% FRL); Woodlawn Middle School (math 20% / reading 39%, grade F, #116 of 218 statewide, top 53%, 887 students, 69% FRL); Woodlawn High School (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #133 of 265 statewide, top 51%, 1,527 students, 62% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $265k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.2% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,020/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 830% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 371 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y1EYYB4PT05GQA
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29