3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,574 sqft ·
Built 1937
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 223 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,177/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$247
Net cashflow
$148/mo
Annual
$1,781/yr
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.09%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (5.9% below list).
It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#251 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Randolph County (town): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #171 of 174 in GA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Randolph County Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 270 students, 100% FRL); Randolph County Middle School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #433 of 470 statewide, top 93%, 138 students, 100% FRL); Randolph Clay High School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 234 students, 100% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randolph County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 90% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y2DNEF4FCMBWXF
· Data 12 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29