3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Condo
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,260/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$123
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$-25/mo
Annual
$-302/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.83%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-302/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (2.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (3.0% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Limestone Chsd 310 (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #486 of 919 in IL (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pleasant Valley Primary School (250 students, 0% FRL); Pleasant Valley Intermediate Sch (math 8% / reading 20%, grade F, #529 of 665 statewide, top 80%, 209 students, 0% FRL); Limestone Community High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 924 students, 0% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Limestone Chsd 310 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $130k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y2HANH3ES6PHW3
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29