1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
933 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,527/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,253
Tax + insurance
−$398
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$531
Net cashflow
$345/mo
Annual
$4,139/yr
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.18%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$66,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $239k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $239k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($225k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $225k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#275 in NY, #4,351 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, cost of living F.
Half Hollow Hills Central School District (suburban): math 79% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #41 of 590 in NY (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior paint
— Some discoloration
Major: bathroom tiles
— Yellow tiles need replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y3MZ0622VDC38M
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29