6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,762 sqft ·
Built 1875
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,875/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$814
Net cashflow
$1,233/mo
Annual
$14,798/yr
Cap rate
11.31%
Cash-on-cash
17.91%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $295k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $617/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $295k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $286k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Edward Smith K-8 School (math 13% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,816 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 710 students, 69% FRL); Expeditionary Learning Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #611 of 729 statewide, top 88%, 170 students, 76% FRL); Nottingham High School (math 75% / reading 77%, grade A-, #616 of 1,100 statewide, top 57%, 1,226 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 75% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 22% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Syracuse City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.2%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $168k; list at $295k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $83k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 7.6% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Visible damage and potential leaks.
Major: siding
— Signs of wear and tear, with some areas appearing loose or damaged.
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and needs trimming.
Major: fencing
— Broken or missing sections.
Major: kitchen and bathrooms
— Signs of wear and tear.
Major: flooring
— Signs of wear and tear.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29