4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1902
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,656/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,386
Tax + insurance
−$896
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,188
Net cashflow
$1,187/mo
Annual
$14,239/yr
Cap rate
9.42%
Cash-on-cash
11.18%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$127,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $455k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $455k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#108 in PA, #833 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: J M Hill El Sch (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,180 of 1,518 statewide, top 80%, 430 students, 68% FRL); J T Lambert Intermediate Sch (math 11% / reading 44%, grade F, #399 of 512 statewide, top 79%, 942 students, 61% FRL); East Stroudsburg Shs South (math 43% / reading 50%, grade D-, #177 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 1,338 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 42% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $127k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.4% in East Stroudsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,656/mo this rent would consume 75% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 672% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Y4YE5GCRQEF4DX
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29